Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 114.455699 132.565111 154.161374 182.276354 218.628774 2.651181e+02 3.309567e+02
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 87.953613 109.105085 137.209303 178.861713 242.140573 3.409258e+02 5.228826e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 72.965006 94.544297 125.324624 175.286376 261.108462 4.197675e+02 7.987634e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 63.944737 85.626712 118.295202 175.382374 284.456447 5.213249e+02 1.277681e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 57.493949 79.016332 112.907357 175.910331 308.216185 6.441718e+02 2.147794e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 51.177984 71.538034 104.547802 168.555598 312.348991 7.243231e+02 3.249236e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 48.269591 68.949558 103.768580 175.187134 351.452350 9.581241e+02 7.880786e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 44.130274 63.804907 97.646856 169.363954 356.750486 1.084789e+03 1.587105e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 41.591806 61.023345 95.332180 171.063988 384.117415 1.365787e+03 7.841351e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 38.829208 57.556865 91.237652 167.795728 395.382034 1.600234e+03 2.764642e+06
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 38.366888 58.020321 94.674516 183.088233 478.593127 2.670400e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 38.778477 60.068324 101.576610 209.538858 633.373882 6.368403e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 36.430465 57.062735 98.136316 208.947353 681.926984 1.038686e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.060978 53.844099 93.916952 205.438734 718.165757 1.757905e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 31.919688 50.859804 89.806307 201.199712 749.446971 3.271446e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 30.301134 48.731658 87.310594 201.347626 812.811501 1.088139e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 28.886306 46.867470 85.150929 202.001101 885.892472 2.122641e+06 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 27.088029 44.090228 80.513886 193.008340 873.762085 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 26.353614 43.390521 80.715452 201.116783 1029.767088 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 24.938922 41.190673 77.015944 193.995408 1030.087091 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 24.074807 40.061106 75.823004 196.072041 1140.679917 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 23.013641 38.446004 73.238301 192.081601 1176.261544 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 22.956882 38.928716 76.028063 210.816797 1606.978713 NaN NaN